3 Nw Gainesville [Ozark Co, MO] nws storm survey reports TORNADO at 31 Mar, 05:16 PM CDT -- an ef-0 rated tornado damaged a turkey barn along county road 803 one mile west of highway 5...or approximately three and a half miles northwest of gainesville. path width was 20 yards with path length of one tenth of a mile...and maximum estimated winds of 65 mph.

1 N Lebanon [Laclede Co, MO] nws storm survey reports TORNADO at 31 Mar, 02:45 PM CDT -- an ef-0 tornado touched down near esther elementary school and tracked east southeast to the lebanon industrial complex. minor damage occurred to several homes and businesses along the path...which is estimated to be 75 yards wide and one half mile long.

3 Se Seneca [Newton Co, MO] nws storm survey reports TORNADO at 31 Mar, 01:57 PM CDT -- ef1 tornado with winds estimated at 88 to 95 mph. tornado width of 60 yards and length of 600 yards. wind damage path was 3 miles long from the oklahoma border south of seneca to 3 miles southeast of seneca. a barn was destroyed...several out buildings severely damaged...several roofs damaged...numerous trees uprooted.

1 Nw Neosho [Newton Co, MO] nws storm survey reports TORNADO at 31 Mar, 02:05 PM CDT -- *** 2 inj *** ef1 tornado damage confirmed by nws storm survey. tornado 80 yards wide and 1 mile in length with a broken tornado track. estimated winds of 90 to 100 mph. wind damage noted from western side of neosho to 1 north northeast of neosho. 3 homes were totally destroyed...10 homes severely damaged...collapse of convenience store...severe damage to public works building.

South Fork [Howell Co, MO] nws storm survey reports TORNADO at 31 Mar, 05:45 PM CDT -- a brief tornado touchdown rated ef-0 destroyed a barn in south fork. path width was 20 yards with path length of one tenth of a mile...and maximum estimated winds of 75 mph.

Buffalo [Dallas Co, MO] nws storm survey reports TORNADO at 31 Mar, 02:15 PM CDT -- *** 3 inj *** a tornado rated ef-2 touched down near the intersection of prairie grove and neill road where a turkey farm was damaged. intermittent damage occurred along a 5-mile path with a maximum width of 300 yards...where 40 homes were damaged and nine homes were destroyed. three minor injuries were reported. the storm lifted near the buffalo airport.

6 SW Nevada [Vernon Co, MO]10:33am 03/31/2008 Vernon Co. Emrg. Mgr. witnessed a TORNADO damaging a home along highway BB.

Here are pictures sent in to us from Britt Millspaugh who was in Buffalo today and took some pics for us.

We also set a new record, for the 2nd month in a row we have taken the number one spot for all time rain in a month. We did in in February, and now here in March.

We are very concerned about the next few days with more rainfall, and flooding that will once again take place across the region.

Look at what some models are projecting now through Friday.

NAM

GFS

HPC

As you can see the  GFS been the lesser with still 2"-4", while the NAM shows 4"-6", whoh!

All of this as a warm front lifts through the region and will bring ample moisture return to the region beginning tomorrow and going through Friday morning.

As far as chances for severe weather go, a lot will depend on if we get enough instability and just how far north the warm front will go. If instability can be realized then storms will develop in the warm sector.

The GFS bufkit is showing at least some instability of 1000 j/kg and VERY high Helicity values.

With still some uncertainties, the SPC has slight risk just to our south.

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