Hello everyone. Thanks for coming by the KSPR weather blog. It sure has been a nice day with very warm temperatures but expect storms to begin to fire up very soon. We are also watching another strong system for Sunday and Monday. Lets get to the details.

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Take a look at high temps we have seen for today! Whoh baby!

A look at dewpoints below.

Here is a look at the cold front position at 3pm.

With readings like this we definitely have some instability out there, but we have also had a bit of a weak cap over the atmosphere. As the cold front arrives that cap is expected to break, and storms will break out later this evening.

Here is a look at CAPE from the RUC model. It show a quick rise to about 1300 j/kg. This is moderate CAPE.

Moderate wind shear is also available, helicity values are moderate as well up around 300 at times.

SPC Day 1 outlook has us in the slight risk area as seen below.

The main threat looks to be large hail and damaging winds, as tornado threat looks to be fairly low right now.

These storms will end by Friday morning across the area.

Friday night looks dry along with most of Saturday, but our next systems begins to move in late on Saturday and last through Monday as a slow moving system once again will bring heavy rain to the Ozarks.

Below is a look at temp. and dew point through Monday. The red line is temp, the green line is dewpoints.

As you can see instability looks to be rather high for the late weekend system as well.

The main threat will be with more flooding. Models are once again showing a good 2"-5" swath of heavy rain.

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Chief Meteorologist Kevin Lighty