Good Monday to you and thanks for visiting the KSPR Weather Blog!

Severe weather will be possible starting tonight across the Ozarks.  Before we get to that, we have a windy start to the week to discuss.

A wind advisory was issued by The National Weather Service and is in effect until 7pm Monday.  The storm system developing to our west will tighten the pressure gradient across our area today.  This will lead to sustained winds anywhere from 20 to 30 miles per hour and gusts over 40 at times.

There is a slight chance for an isolated storm today, but the chances increase tonight into early Tuesday.  Severe weather will likely break out across Kansas and Oklahoma this afternoon and evening.  The Storm Prediction Center has the area just to our west under a moderate risk for severe storms.

The storm system has a good chance of producing widespread severe storms across Oklahoma and Kansas.  As the system lifts to the north and east a cold front will push through the Ozarks.  Along and ahead of the front strong to severe storms will move through our region.

The timing of the storms will hinge on the development of the storm system.  The latest models bring the storms through the Ozarks early Tuesday morning through the afternoon hours.

The main threat for our area will be damaging winds and hail.  There is a chance though for a couple of tornados, especially if the storms hold off until the afternoon.  We will be watching this VERY closely tonight.  Check back here for Chief Meteorologist Kevin Lighty's update this evening.

Another storm system will move into the area Friday.  This too looks to bring with it a round of strong to severe storms.

What will be very interesting is what develops behind the system.  The GFS has been consistently showing wrap around snow behind the low pressure system.  This morning's model run shows the possibility of an inch around the Ozarks.  Once again, it is too early to tell for sure if we will actually see this, stay tuned to see if the GFS continues this trend.

Please, go out and make it a GREAT Monday!

Meteorologist Craig Carnesi